
As one of my colleagues asked me recently, “why bother reading The Wisdom of Crowds, the premise seems pretty obvious from the title, doesn’t it?” While it’s true that you can anticipate James Surowiecki’s argument, it doesn’t make the book any less timely. The claim is that given the right circumstances a group or crowd of people will outperform the smartest individuals in the group. The diversity of the group actually harnesses more information than any one person can contribute.
His examples include prediction markets, traffic networks, political ballots, and search engines. For me, the crux remains: it is the circumstances that matter. Given the wrong circumstances, the crowd can still perform miserably. As I found out, there is actually much more to this book than the title suggests. Besides, The Wisdom of Crowds made the Business Week bestseller list, the crowd can’t be wrong, can it?








